MMEC Daily Report · Same-Session Scorecard

MMEC Report Scorecard — September 17, 2026: 4 of 12 Directional Chances Worked

4/12

Clear-direction hit rate · ~33%

Top same-session winners

NBIS bullish → +2.37%
NVDA bullish → +0.97%
PLTR bullish → +0.72%

Headline: On Thursday, 17 September 2026, MMEC’s directional “chances” from Market Intent and Sovereign Pulse aligned with same-session underlying moves in 4 of 12 clear-direction names (~33%). Horizon: entry print → September 17 regular-session close. Underlying price only — not options P&L.

This scorecard is a structured post-trade review of published flow narratives versus spot — the kind of calibration institutional desks run after the close. It is educational. It is not a performance guarantee. A quieter hit rate after a strong prior session is still useful information.

Visual Snapshot — Before & After

Session charts below use 5-minute bars for 17 September 2026. The blue marker is the signal/entry print (Before); the gold marker is the session’s last 5-minute close (After).

Top winners — Before → After · 17 Sep 2026

Success Showcase — What Worked

Four tickers moved in the implied direction with an absolute move of at least 0.15% by the September 17 close:

Ticker	Implied	Δ %	Outcome
NBIS	Bullish	+2.37%	Worked
NVDA	Bullish	+0.97%	Worked
PLTR	Bullish	+0.72%	Worked
META	Bullish	+0.62%	Worked

NBIS led the winners: bullish flow, then a +2.37% lift from 212.78 to 217.82. NVDA (+0.97%), PLTR (+0.72%), and META (+0.62%) also finished with the implied bias.

Before/After chart for NBIS on 17 September 2026 session — NBIS bullish +2.37% — Before 212.78 / After 217.82

Before/After chart for NVDA on 17 September 2026 session — NVDA bullish +0.97% — Before 217.29 / After 219.40

Before/After chart for PLTR on 17 September 2026 session — PLTR bullish +0.72% — Before/After (17 Sep 2026 session)

Before/After chart for META on 17 September 2026 session — META bullish +0.62% — Before 678.47 / After 682.70

Misses — What Did Not Align

Eight clear-direction names moved against the implied bias (≥0.15% absolute). Largest against-bias moves:

AMD (bearish): +2.96% against bias — the session’s key miss
COIN (bearish): +1.35% against bias
INTC (bullish): −1.10% against bias
GRAL (bearish): +0.95% against bias
FRO (bullish): −0.62% against bias
SM (bullish): −0.61% against bias
TSLA (bullish): −0.52% against bias
GOOGL (bearish): +0.51% against bias

Key misses — AMD / COIN · 17 Sep 2026 — Key misses — AMD / COIN

Before/After chart for AMD on 17 September 2026 session — AMD bearish bias, underlying +2.96% — key miss

Before/After chart for COIN on 17 September 2026 session — COIN bearish bias, underlying +1.35%

Before/After chart for INTC on 17 September 2026 session — INTC bullish bias, underlying −1.10%

Additional miss chart (INTC collage)

Flat / After-Hours & Mixed Flow

Three primary names were effectively flat (|Δ| < 0.15%) — often because the earliest actionable print landed at or after the cash close (e.g. S, MSTR, SPCX). Mixed bull-vs-bear flow (excluded from the hit rate): MU, SNDK, NTNX.

How We Score

Directional only: Sovereign whale Call/Put buying, inferable vertical packages, Market Intent Call/Put demand spotlights.
Clear direction if one side > 1.5× the other; drop total directional notional under $300k; skip cash indices.
Entry = first 5-minute close at/after the earliest actionable timestamp; latest = last RTH 5-minute close on 17 September 2026.
Worked = move with the implied bias and |%| ≥ 0.15%.

Educational disclaimer: This is an analytical review of published MMEC report narratives versus underlying spot. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security or option, and not a claim of predictive skill. Underlying moves are not the same as options P&L. Markets involve risk of loss.